Strategic Base/Strategic outputs/Large-calibre shell-body forgings

Strategic qualified-output profile · RESEARCH ALPHA

Large-calibre shell-body forgings

A stage- and configuration-bounded assessment of current European projectile-body output, large-calibre forging routes, capacity observations, industrialisation and the evidence that remains missing between nominal equipment and accepted supply.

What same-configuration European shell-body output, yield, qualified process capacity, spare transferable capacity and substitution time are actually evidenced?

SB-SQP-0001Version 0.1.0QUALIFIED OUTPUTEvidence cutoff 2026-08-29Europe research scope

Evidence resolves sites before it resolves compatible supply

As of 2026-08-29

Current body-production sites6

Six site-resolved records establish body production; exact forged-output maturity is uneven.

Comparable current target-stage capacityUNKNOWN

All retained quantities are excluded because stage, lifecycle, measurement or configuration does not align.

Uncommitted compatible capacityUNKNOWN

No source joins exact configuration, accepted output, commitments and available headroom.

Comparable current output-capacity headlineUNKNOWN

Comparable current European rough or near-net shell-body output capacity. No retained observation set shares current capacity status, one exact rough/near-net output stage, the same counted object and period, explicit configuration compatibility and non-overlapping site scope.

Inference boundary. Visible body production, a forge, annual shell output or a completed round does not establish same-stage, same-configuration, accepted and uncommitted projectile-body supply.

01 · Output role

The strategic object is a bounded manufacturing output

Steel, equipment and complete ammunition sit on different sides of the projectile-body gate.

01Accepted inputInput form, material state and source approval must match the selected body route.
02Forged or near-net bodyThe target intermediate is stage-specific and does not inherit generic equipment capacity.
03Downstream empty-body operationsTreatment, machining, banding and inspection can remain separate gates.
04Filled and accepted projectileFilling, fuze integration and final acceptance occur after the target output.
05Complete roundRound-level production adds other components and cannot be used as a body-stage denominator.

Output-stage scope

The profile target is the initial forged or rough/near-net projectile body before downstream heat treatment, finish machining, banding, filling, fuze integration and complete-round assembly. Body-stage evidence whose exact maturity is unresolved is mapped separately and never enters a stage-compatible capacity total.

Configuration and acceptance boundary

Calibre alone is insufficient: geometry, material state, tooling route, inspection, downstream fit and customer or weapon-system acceptance must align before outputs can be treated as poolable. A forged or machined body is not accepted usable supply unless the same configuration, process route, conformity, customer acceptance and downstream allocation are joined.

Profile scopeEurope research scope. Exclusions: Russia; Belarus; generic steelmaking without a shell-body route; generic forging equipment without projectile-body evidence; filling or complete-round production without body-stage evidence; operational manufacturing parameters; out-of-scope non-European producers except explicitly labelled context. The producer and project records are a bounded current first-party and regulatory-source result, not a complete census, market-share model, procurement map or claim that no other European route exists.

02 · European production base

Six current body-production lanes are evidenced at unequal stage resolution

Four lanes explicitly establish forging; two establish current body production without resolving the exact forged-output maturity.

North · 66°NSouth · 35°NWest −12° → East 42°

1Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß
Initial shell-body forging · Machined empty projectile body · Complete projectileDE · CURRENT
2ZVS Holding, Snina
Projectile body — exact maturity unresolved · Heat-treated body · Machined empty projectile body · Manufacturing stage unresolvedSK · CURRENT
3MESKO Kraśnik
Projectile body — exact maturity unresolved · Heat-treated body · Machined empty projectile bodyPL · CURRENT
4Rheinmetall Expal, Trubia
Initial shell-body forging · Rough or near-net shell body · Manufacturing stage unresolvedES · CURRENT
5Les Forges de Tarbes
Initial shell-body forging · Rough or near-net shell body · Machined empty projectile bodyFR · CURRENT
6Kovački Centar, Valjevo
Initial shell-body forgingRS · CURRENT

Schematic plot, not a border map. Only site-resolved current producer records receive markers; an unresolved output stage may support producer discovery but cannot enter target-stage capacity arithmetic. Planned, downstream-only and operator-unresolved records remain outside the current map.

Bounded current European body-output and control records

Record / location	State	Evidenced output stage	Boundary
CURRENT OUTPUT SITE Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß Germany · Rheinmetall Unterlüß artillery plantSHB-CLM-001 SHB-CLM-002 SHB-CLM-003	CURRENTSITE RESOLVED	Initial shell-body forging · Machined empty projectile body · Complete projectile Current shell-casing route with explicit forging and machining; a bounded current projectile delivery is separately evidenced.	The public 350,000/year ceiling is for artillery shells or projectiles at plant grain, not disclosed shell-body-forging capacity, accepted body output or spare headroom.
CURRENT OUTPUT SITE ZVS Holding, Snina Slovakia · ZVS Holding / MSM Group Snina body-production siteSHB-CLM-004 SHB-CLM-005 SHB-CLM-006 SHB-CLM-007	CURRENTSITE RESOLVED	Projectile body — exact maturity unresolved · Heat-treated body · Machined empty projectile body · Manufacturing stage unresolved Current ammunition-body production with a disclosed body-stage capacity and an internal supply-chain role.	The 120,000/year observation counts bodies but does not resolve exact maturity, configuration, accepted output, utilisation or merchant headroom; the separate 360,000 statement uses 155 mm artillery-ammunition wording without resolving a manufacturing stage.
CURRENT OUTPUT SITE MESKO Kraśnik Poland · MESKO S.A. / PGZ Kraśnik body-production departmentSHB-CLM-008 SHB-CLM-009 SHB-CLM-010 SHB-CLM-011	CURRENTSITE RESOLVED	Projectile body — exact maturity unresolved · Heat-treated body · Machined empty projectile body Current 155 mm body production with one Krab-scoped accepted batch and a staged expansion programme.	The current approximately 25,000 bodies/year figure is a reported rate, not nameplate or free capacity; 2027 and 2028 observations remain future targets.
CURRENT OUTPUT SITE Rheinmetall Expal, Trubia Spain · Rheinmetall Expal Munitions Trubia production plantSHB-CLM-012 SHB-CLM-013	CURRENTSITE RESOLVED	Initial shell-body forging · Rough or near-net shell body · Manufacturing stage unresolved Current operating 155 mm forging route established through the permit, ownership-continuity and facility records.	The regulatory quantities have no defensible visible year, calibre, metric or capacity/output semantics and are retained only as non-additive observations.
CURRENT OUTPUT SITE Les Forges de Tarbes France · Les Forges de Tarbes / Europlasma Tarbes hollow-body forgeSHB-CLM-014 SHB-CLM-015 SHB-CLM-016 SHB-CLM-017	CURRENTSITE RESOLVED	Initial shell-body forging · Rough or near-net shell body · Machined empty projectile body Current large hollow-body production with explicit forging and high-level downstream body operations.	Historical gross output, a current-year reported capacity and a multi-year contract remain distinct; none establishes independently verified nameplate, conforming output, customer acceptance or uncommitted capacity.
CURRENT OUTPUT SITE Kovački Centar, Valjevo Serbia · Kovački Centar / Krušik Valjevo forging centreSHB-CLM-019	CURRENTSITE RESOLVED	Initial shell-body forging A 155 mm projectile-body forging line commissioned in 2020 with current producer-licence continuity and current group-level hot-forged-body capability.	The sources disclose no current capacity, output, exact accepted configuration, customer allocation or merchant availability.
PLANNED OUTPUT SITE Rheinmetall Lithuania, Baisogala Lithuania · Rheinmetall / Lithuania Baisogala ammunition-plant projectSHB-CLM-020	PLANNEDSITE RESOLVED	Initial shell-body forging · Complete projectile Shell-casing forge and filling plant under construction with line qualification scheduled through end-2026 and ramp planned in 2027.	Groundbreaking and a qualification schedule establish no current commissioned, qualified or stable output.
PLANNED OUTPUT SITE Rheinmetall Latvia project Latvia · Rheinmetall / State Defence Corporation Exact shell-forge site unresolvedSHB-CLM-021	PLANNEDOPERATOR ONLY SITE UNRESOLVED	Initial shell-body forging · Filling and final-assembly control · Complete projectile MoU-stage proposed shell-forging and filling project.	The originally announced construction date does not prove site resolution, construction, commissioning or output; the separate Iecava charge project is not this shell forge.
PLANNED OUTPUT SITE Nammo Raufoss expansion Norway · Nammo Raufoss new press and machining factorySHB-CLM-025	PLANNEDSITE RESOLVED	Manufacturing stage unresolved New forming and machining capacity presented as starting production later in 2026.	The source establishes planned pressing/forming and machining equipment, not a resolved forged, rough/near-net or machined-body output stage; it does not confirm commissioning by the evidence cutoff or disclose a body-specific current rate, and a group statement covering several ammunition types is not 155 mm body capacity.
PLANNED OUTPUT SITE Rheinmetall–VMZ Sopot-region project Bulgaria · Rheinmetall / VMZ Sopot-region projectile-casing projectSHB-CLM-026	PLANNEDOPERATOR ONLY SITE UNRESOLVED	Projectile body — exact maturity unresolved · Complete projectile Planned projectile-casing and ammunition project announced for production from 2027.	The whole-plant shell target is planned and does not establish current casing capacity, the exact casing stage or a commissioned site.
DOWNSTREAM ONLY CONTROL Nammo Karlskoga Sweden · Nammo Karlskoga production siteSHB-CLM-022	CURRENTSITE RESOLVED	Filling and final-assembly control · Complete projectile Current explosive filling and final assembly for 40, 57 and 155 mm ammunition.	This current 155 mm downstream role establishes no shell-body manufacture, forging, body throughput or upstream site allocation.
DOWNSTREAM ONLY CONTROL KNDS La Chapelle-Saint-Ursin France · KNDS France La Chapelle-Saint-Ursin large-calibre unitSHB-CLM-018	CURRENTSITE RESOLVED	Machined empty projectile body · Body with driving-band operations Current body finishing, banding and inspection from externally arriving forged blocks.	The source establishes a downstream body route, not on-site forging and not a documented supplier relationship with Tarbes.
OPERATOR OR STAGE UNRESOLVED STV Group forged-body lane Czechia · STV Group Exact forging site unresolvedSHB-CLM-023	STATUS UNRESOLVEDOPERATOR ONLY SITE UNRESOLVED	Initial shell-body forging · Rough or near-net shell body Forged 122, 152 and 155 mm projectile-body production announced for serial launch at end-2025.	No later first-party source found in this sweep confirms commissioning or resolves the forge site; Polička filling evidence does not locate this body line.
OPERATOR OR STAGE UNRESOLVED ROMARM 155 mm body-component lane Romania · ROMARM Exact body-production site unresolvedSHB-CLM-024	CURRENTNETWORK ONLY SITE UNRESOLVED	Projectile body — exact maturity unresolved Current group-level 155 mm projectile-body component offer with generic Plopeni forging capability separately visible.	The source set does not join the body product to Plopeni or any exact current forging line, so the operator cannot become a site-resolved forge record.

Current-producer-map reading ruleA current-map marker requires a resolved site and direct body-stage evidence. Complete-projectile, filling-only, group-level or planned evidence remains outside the map unless the body stage itself is established.

03 · Output stage and market structure

Shared calibre does not create a common output market

Body, projectile and round quantities remain separated, as do exact configuration and acceptance scopes.

No current shortage or sufficiency finding · WITHHELD CURRENT SUFFICIENCY

Europe has multiple evidenced shell-body production and forging lanes, but comparable same-stage capacity, exact-configuration accepted output, yield, commitments, demand and uncommitted headroom remain unknown.

Sources alternate among shell, casing, projectile, ammunition body and round. Each record retains the narrowest defensible stage; none is normalised upward or downward for aesthetic symmetry.

Entry into the usable pool is a joined evidence problemA nominal forge or body quantity enters compatible supply only when the output stage, exact configuration, process route, conformity, customer acceptance, period and allocation are aligned.

Stage-resolved records and controls

CURRENT OUTPUT SITE

Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß

Initial shell-body forging · Machined empty projectile body · Complete projectile

The public 350,000/year ceiling is for artillery shells or projectiles at plant grain, not disclosed shell-body-forging capacity, accepted body output or spare headroom.

SHB-CLM-001 SHB-CLM-002 SHB-CLM-003

CURRENT OUTPUT SITE

ZVS Holding, Snina

Projectile body — exact maturity unresolved · Heat-treated body · Machined empty projectile body · Manufacturing stage unresolved

The 120,000/year observation counts bodies but does not resolve exact maturity, configuration, accepted output, utilisation or merchant headroom; the separate 360,000 statement uses 155 mm artillery-ammunition wording without resolving a manufacturing stage.

SHB-CLM-004 SHB-CLM-005 SHB-CLM-006 SHB-CLM-007

CURRENT OUTPUT SITE

MESKO Kraśnik

Projectile body — exact maturity unresolved · Heat-treated body · Machined empty projectile body

The current approximately 25,000 bodies/year figure is a reported rate, not nameplate or free capacity; 2027 and 2028 observations remain future targets.

SHB-CLM-008 SHB-CLM-009 SHB-CLM-010 SHB-CLM-011

CURRENT OUTPUT SITE

Rheinmetall Expal, Trubia

Initial shell-body forging · Rough or near-net shell body · Manufacturing stage unresolved

The regulatory quantities have no defensible visible year, calibre, metric or capacity/output semantics and are retained only as non-additive observations.

SHB-CLM-012 SHB-CLM-013

CURRENT OUTPUT SITE

Les Forges de Tarbes

Initial shell-body forging · Rough or near-net shell body · Machined empty projectile body

Historical gross output, a current-year reported capacity and a multi-year contract remain distinct; none establishes independently verified nameplate, conforming output, customer acceptance or uncommitted capacity.

SHB-CLM-014 SHB-CLM-015 SHB-CLM-016 SHB-CLM-017

CURRENT OUTPUT SITE

Kovački Centar, Valjevo

Initial shell-body forging

The sources disclose no current capacity, output, exact accepted configuration, customer allocation or merchant availability.

SHB-CLM-019

PLANNED OUTPUT SITE

Rheinmetall Lithuania, Baisogala

Initial shell-body forging · Complete projectile

Groundbreaking and a qualification schedule establish no current commissioned, qualified or stable output.

SHB-CLM-020

PLANNED OUTPUT SITE

Rheinmetall Latvia project

Initial shell-body forging · Filling and final-assembly control · Complete projectile

The originally announced construction date does not prove site resolution, construction, commissioning or output; the separate Iecava charge project is not this shell forge.

SHB-CLM-021

PLANNED OUTPUT SITE

Nammo Raufoss expansion

Manufacturing stage unresolved

The source establishes planned pressing/forming and machining equipment, not a resolved forged, rough/near-net or machined-body output stage; it does not confirm commissioning by the evidence cutoff or disclose a body-specific current rate, and a group statement covering several ammunition types is not 155 mm body capacity.

SHB-CLM-025

PLANNED OUTPUT SITE

Rheinmetall–VMZ Sopot-region project

Projectile body — exact maturity unresolved · Complete projectile

The whole-plant shell target is planned and does not establish current casing capacity, the exact casing stage or a commissioned site.

SHB-CLM-026

DOWNSTREAM ONLY CONTROL

Nammo Karlskoga

Filling and final-assembly control · Complete projectile

This current 155 mm downstream role establishes no shell-body manufacture, forging, body throughput or upstream site allocation.

SHB-CLM-022

DOWNSTREAM ONLY CONTROL

KNDS La Chapelle-Saint-Ursin

Machined empty projectile body · Body with driving-band operations

The source establishes a downstream body route, not on-site forging and not a documented supplier relationship with Tarbes.

SHB-CLM-018

OPERATOR OR STAGE UNRESOLVED

STV Group forged-body lane

Initial shell-body forging · Rough or near-net shell body

No later first-party source found in this sweep confirms commissioning or resolves the forge site; Polička filling evidence does not locate this body line.

SHB-CLM-023

OPERATOR OR STAGE UNRESOLVED

ROMARM 155 mm body-component lane

Projectile body — exact maturity unresolved

The source set does not join the body product to Plopeni or any exact current forging line, so the operator cannot become a site-resolved forge record.

SHB-CLM-024

04 · Capacity and expansion

Published numbers count different objects and lifecycle states

Current rates, targets, deliveries, contracts and regulatory observations cannot form one European total.

Retained quantity observations

Observation	Quantity / counted object	Stage and lifecycle	Headline treatment
Unterlüß future full-capacity ceiling Manufacturer-stated future annual plant capability. SHB-CLM-002	up to 350,000 items/yearartillery shells or projectiles at plant grain	Complete projectile TARGET · Target full-capacity state in 2027	EXCLUDED Planned rather than current. Counts projectiles or shells rather than the target forging stage. Configuration compatibility is unresolved.
Unterlüß end-2025 production plan A dated production plan reported at the 2025 opening. SHB-CLM-002	25,000 items in periodrounds or artillery-shell plant output planned by end-2025	Complete projectile TARGET · Plan stated for completion by 2025-12-31	EXCLUDED Historical target rather than evidenced current capacity. Counted stage is not the target output.
Unterlüß 2026 scheduled delivery Manufacturer-reported delivery schedule. SHB-CLM-002	140,000 items in periodartillery projectiles scheduled for delivery	Complete projectile DELIVERY · Calendar year 2026 schedule stated in September 2025	EXCLUDED Delivery schedule rather than capacity. Projectile stage rather than body forging. Achievement and configuration are unresolved.
ZVS Snina advertised body capacity Current manufacturer-advertised annual body capacity. SHB-CLM-004	120,000 items/yearammunition bodies	Projectile body — exact maturity unresolved REPORTED CAPACITY · Current undated manufacturer page, accessed 2026-08-29	EXCLUDED Exact target-stage maturity is unresolved. Configuration poolability and uncommitted availability are not established.
ZVS/MSM 2026 ammunition target Expansion target stated when the new body line opened. SHB-CLM-005	360,000 items/yearpieces of 155 mm artillery ammunition	Manufacturing stage unresolved TARGET · Target for 2026 stated in October 2024	EXCLUDED Target achievement is unresolved. The ammunition wording does not resolve the manufacturing stage to shell-body forgings. Configuration and accepted-output status are unresolved.
MESKO Kraśnik current reported body rate Manufacturer-reported current annual production rate. SHB-CLM-009	≈25,000 items/year155 mm ammunition bodies	Projectile body — exact maturity unresolved REPORTED CURRENT RATE · Current rate reported 2026-04-17	EXCLUDED Reported rate rather than capacity. Exact target-stage maturity and configuration poolability are unresolved.
MESKO Kraśnik 2027 body target Manufacturer-stated 2027 expansion target. SHB-CLM-010	up to 150,000 items/year155 mm ammunition bodies	Projectile body — exact maturity unresolved TARGET · Planned completed-line state in 2027	EXCLUDED Planned rather than current. Exact target-stage maturity and configuration poolability are unresolved.
MESKO Kraśnik 2028 full-capability target Manufacturer-stated full-capability target. SHB-CLM-010	≈180,000 items/year155 mm ammunition bodies	Projectile body — exact maturity unresolved TARGET · Planned full-capability state in 2028	EXCLUDED Planned rather than current. Exact target-stage maturity and configuration poolability are unresolved.
MESKO fivefold expansion statement Relative manufacturer statement about planned body-department capacity growth. SHB-CLM-011	5×reported capacity increase multiple	Projectile body — exact maturity unresolved RELATIVE CHANGE · Expansion programme reported 2026-07-28	EXCLUDED Relative planned change rather than an absolute current capacity. No baseline may be backsolved.
Trubia PRTR projectile observation Untyped quantity visible in the current PRTR facility record. SHB-CLM-013	180,314 items in periodPRTR display labelled PROYECTILES	Manufacturing stage unresolved REGULATORY OBSERVATION · Regulatory display; reporting period unresolved	EXCLUDED Metric semantics and reporting period are unresolved. Stage and configuration do not align with the target output.
Trubia PRTR preform observation Untyped quantity visible in the current PRTR facility record. SHB-CLM-013	15,365 items in periodPRTR display labelled PREFORMA	Manufacturing stage unresolved REGULATORY OBSERVATION · Regulatory display; reporting period unresolved	EXCLUDED Metric semantics and reporting period are unresolved. The source term is not silently relabelled as target-stage capacity.
Trubia PRTR case observation Untyped quantity visible in the current PRTR facility record. SHB-CLM-013	21,090 items in periodPRTR display labelled VAINA	Manufacturing stage unresolved REGULATORY OBSERVATION · Regulatory display; reporting period unresolved	EXCLUDED Metric semantics and reporting period are unresolved. Counted object is not established as the target output.
Tarbes 2025 gross hollow-body output Gross annual site output reported in 2026 evidence. SHB-CLM-016	70,000 items in periodgross large hollow bodies	Rough or near-net shell body REPORTED OUTPUT · Calendar year 2025	EXCLUDED Historical gross output rather than current capacity. Configuration and acceptance are unresolved.
Tarbes 2026 reported production capacity Current-year production-capacity statement in official parliamentary evidence. SHB-CLM-016	65,000 items/yearlarge hollow bodies	Rough or near-net shell body REPORTED CAPACITY · Calendar year 2026 capacity reported on 2026-05-07	EXCLUDED Exact configuration compatibility and accepted-output scope are unresolved. The statement does not establish independently verified nameplate, actual output or uncommitted headroom.
Tarbes 2027 output estimate Future output estimate stated in parliamentary evidence. SHB-CLM-016	100,000 items/yearlarge hollow bodies estimated for 2027	Rough or near-net shell body TARGET · Calendar year 2027 estimate	EXCLUDED Planned rather than current. Configuration and acceptance are unresolved.
Tarbes–KNDS 2026–2028 contract range Contracted delivery range across three years. SHB-CLM-015	60,000–150,000 items in period155 mm hollow shell bodies contracted across the full period	Rough or near-net shell body DELIVERY · Multi-year contract period 2026–2028	EXCLUDED Multi-year delivery range rather than annual capacity. Annual distribution, acceptance and uncommitted headroom are unresolved.
STV multi-calibre forged-body target First-party announced annual target following a scheduled end-2025 serial launch. SHB-CLM-023	>100,000 items/yearmixed 122, 152 and 155 mm forged projectile bodies	Initial shell-body forging TARGET · 2026 target announced 2025-09-05	EXCLUDED Current commissioning status is unresolved. Mixed configurations and exact site prevent pooling.
Nammo Raufoss expansion multiple Group-reported expansion multiple for several ammunition types. SHB-CLM-025	up to 10×reported output increase across several key ammunition types	Manufacturing stage unresolved RELATIVE CHANGE · Expansion state reported in 2026; commissioning not confirmed by cutoff	EXCLUDED Relative planned change across several products. No 155 mm body-stage denominator or current commissioning evidence.
Rheinmetall–VMZ planned whole-plant output First-party planned plant-output target. SHB-CLM-026	≈100,000 items/yearartillery shells at planned whole-plant grain	Complete projectile TARGET · Planned production from 2027	EXCLUDED Planned whole-plant target rather than current body capacity. Stage and configuration do not align with the target output.

Capacity-accounting boundaryNo number is added across different counted objects, stages, configurations, periods, lifecycle states or overlapping site/group scopes. Planned projects contribute zero to current capacity.

Expansion and ramp states

COMMISSIONED RAMP UNRESOLVED

Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß

The plant opened in 2025 and a bounded 2026 projectile delivery is evidenced, while the stated full-capacity point remains a 2027 target.

Current-capacity treatment: EXCLUDED. A 15-month construction period, opening and one delivery do not establish universal build time, body-stage qualification time, stable full-rate output or spare capacity.

SHB-CLM-002 SHB-CLM-003

COMMISSIONED RAMP UNRESOLVED

ZVS Holding, Snina

A new body line opened in 2024, while the separate 360,000-piece 155 mm artillery-ammunition target for 2026 has no retained current achievement confirmation or resolved manufacturing stage.

Current-capacity treatment: EXCLUDED. The opened body line does not turn an artillery-ammunition target with unresolved manufacturing stage into current body capacity or accepted same-configuration output.

SHB-CLM-005

EQUIPMENT ACCEPTANCE PENDING

MESKO Kraśnik

Kraśnik is expanding through staged construction and an automatic body line whose final acceptance is scheduled for end-September 2027, with full capability associated with 2028.

Current-capacity treatment: EXCLUDED. Construction, a fivefold statement and scheduled line acceptance are not current output, commissioning, stable yield or customer-qualified capacity.

SHB-CLM-010 SHB-CLM-011

CONSTRUCTION

Rheinmetall Lithuania, Baisogala

Construction began in November 2025 for a shell-casing forge and filling plant; line qualification was scheduled through end-2026 and gradual ramp for 2027.

Current-capacity treatment: EXCLUDED. Groundbreaking, construction and a qualification schedule contribute no current capacity before evidence of commissioned and accepted output.

SHB-CLM-020

ANNOUNCED

Rheinmetall Latvia project

The Rheinmetall Latvia shell-forging and filling proposal remains at MoU and preparatory status in retained current evidence.

Current-capacity treatment: EXCLUDED. Elapsed schedule dates do not prove site selection, construction, commissioning, qualification or output; the separate modular-charge project is not this forge.

SHB-CLM-021

ANNOUNCED

STV Group forged-body lane

STV announced serial forged-body production for end-2025 and a mixed-calibre 2026 target, but no later first-party commissioning confirmation was found.

Current-capacity treatment: EXCLUDED. A passed announced date is not a commissioning record, site resolution or current qualified output.

SHB-CLM-023

CONSTRUCTION

Nammo Raufoss expansion

Nammo presents a new Raufoss press and machining factory expected to start production later in 2026.

Current-capacity treatment: EXCLUDED. The project statement does not confirm commissioning by the evidence cutoff or provide an exact 155 mm body quantity.

SHB-CLM-025

ANNOUNCED

Rheinmetall–VMZ Sopot-region project

Rheinmetall and VMZ announced a Sopot-region joint venture with projectile-casing production planned from 2027.

Current-capacity treatment: EXCLUDED. The planned whole-plant figure does not establish a commissioned casing line, exact body stage, current capacity or accepted output.

SHB-CLM-026

05 · Process poolability and qualification

Nominal forging capacity is not transferable accepted output

Tooling, process validation, inspection and product acceptance remain configuration-specific public unknowns.

Only high-level, directly evidenced process capabilities

Record	High-level capability	Evidence boundary
Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß SHB-CLM-001	Shell-casing forging TRANSFORMATION The shell-manufacturing building publicly identifies forging within its casing-production route.	Only the existence and high-level route position are retained; no equipment setting, material recipe, tooling geometry or process parameter is published.
Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß SHB-CLM-001	Rough and finish machining FINISHING Rough and finish machining are publicly placed after forging in the bounded casing route.	No tolerances, dimensions, tooling sequence, machine setting or internal geometry is retained.
Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß SHB-CLM-001	Heat and surface treatment TREATMENT High-level heat-treatment and surface-finishing functions are named in the casing route.	No cycle, temperature, medium, timing, material condition or specification is retained.
Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß SHB-CLM-001	Materials testing and quality assurance INSPECTION OR ACCEPTANCE Current recruitment evidence confirms quality and materials-test functions in the plant.	No acceptance threshold, test procedure, measurement result or configuration criterion is retained.
ZVS Holding, Snina SHB-CLM-006	Hot forming and pressing TRANSFORMATION The annual report describes hot forming and pressing in the current body-production route without calling it forging.	The profile preserves the source wording and publishes no temperatures, forces, sequence, dimensions or process settings.
ZVS Holding, Snina SHB-CLM-006	Body machining FINISHING Machining is identified as a high-level body-production function at Snina.	No machining tolerance, geometry, sequence, tooling dimension or rate is retained.
ZVS Holding, Snina SHB-CLM-006	Body heat treatment TREATMENT Heat treatment is identified as a high-level body-production function at Snina.	No material recipe, cycle, temperature, medium or timing is retained.
ZVS Holding, Snina SHB-CLM-006	Non-destructive inspection INSPECTION OR ACCEPTANCE The body route includes high-level non-destructive inspection.	No test procedure, acceptance threshold, defect criterion or inspection result is retained.
MESKO Kraśnik SHB-CLM-009	Hot forming TRANSFORMATION MESKO identifies hot forming within the Kraśnik body-production route without resolving it to the profile's canonical forging label.	No temperature, force, tooling path, stock dimension or process setting is retained.
MESKO Kraśnik SHB-CLM-009	Body machining FINISHING Machining is a publicly named high-level function in the current Kraśnik body route.	No tolerance, tool, dimension, geometry or machine setting is retained.
MESKO Kraśnik SHB-CLM-009	Body heat treatment TREATMENT Heat treatment is a publicly named high-level function in the current Kraśnik body route.	No heat-treatment cycle, temperature, timing, material recipe or medium is retained.
MESKO Kraśnik SHB-CLM-009	Body inspection INSPECTION OR ACCEPTANCE Inspection is a publicly named high-level function in the current Kraśnik body route.	No acceptance limit, procedure, result or product-specific criterion is retained.
Rheinmetall Expal, Trubia SHB-CLM-012	155 mm forging and high-level body forming TRANSFORMATION The operating permit identifies the 155 line and high-level forging, ogive-forming and mouth-calibration functions.	Only the existence of the authorised high-level functions is retained; no operational parameter or geometry is published.
Les Forges de Tarbes SHB-CLM-014	Large hollow-body forging TRANSFORMATION The current company page identifies forging in the large hollow-body production route.	No forging temperature, force, die geometry, sequence, stock dimension or process setting is retained.
Les Forges de Tarbes SHB-CLM-014	High-level machining and body shaping FINISHING The current company page lists machining and body-shaping functions after forging.	No tolerance, dimension, internal geometry, tooling sequence or machine setting is retained.
Kovački Centar, Valjevo SHB-CLM-019	Projectile-body hot forging TRANSFORMATION Official commissioning and current company material identify a projectile-body forging route at Valjevo.	No operational setting, temperature, force, tooling geometry, material recipe or body dimension is retained.
KNDS La Chapelle-Saint-Ursin SHB-CLM-018	Machining and driving-band operations FINISHING The downstream site receives forged metal blocks and performs body machining and banding operations.	No tolerance, dimension, tool, internal geometry or sequence is retained.
KNDS La Chapelle-Saint-Ursin SHB-CLM-018	Pressure and dimensional inspection INSPECTION OR ACCEPTANCE High-level pressure and dimensional controls are identified in the downstream body route.	No threshold, tolerance, result, test procedure or configuration criterion is retained.
Nammo Karlskoga SHB-CLM-022	Explosive filling and final assembly ASSEMBLY OR INTEGRATION Karlskoga is retained as a downstream-only control for filling and final assembly.	No filling procedure, composition, equipment setting, assembly instruction or operational parameter is retained.

Poolability and qualification watchpoints

UNRESOLVED

Manufacturing-stage translation

Body, shell, casing, projectile and ammunition wording varies across sources; each quantity must remain at its evidenced stage before any comparison.

SHB-CLM-002 SHB-CLM-004 SHB-CLM-005 SHB-CLM-009 SHB-CLM-013 SHB-CLM-016

UNRESOLVED

Same-calibre configuration compatibility

No retained multi-site source set proves that nominally similar bodies share geometry, material state, tooling, inspection and accepted downstream interfaces.

SHB-CLM-007 SHB-CLM-008 SHB-CLM-011 SHB-CLM-018

PARTIALLY OBSERVED

Process transfer and industrialisation

Unterlüß and Kraśnik expose distinct build, ramp and line-acceptance milestones, but neither establishes a universal time to accepted same-configuration output.

SHB-CLM-002 SHB-CLM-003 SHB-CLM-010 SHB-CLM-011 SHB-CLM-020

PARTIALLY OBSERVED

Site and group attribution

Current downstream, corporate and product evidence cannot be joined into a body-forging site without an explicit facility-stage link.

SHB-CLM-018 SHB-CLM-021 SHB-CLM-022 SHB-CLM-024

UNRESOLVED

Conformity, customer acceptance and allocation

Bounded accepted-batch and delivery evidence exists, but no site supplies a continuous same-configuration ledger from gross body output through acceptance, commitments and available headroom.

SHB-CLM-003 SHB-CLM-007 SHB-CLM-008 SHB-CLM-016 SHB-CLM-017

exact input and configuration→controlled high-level production route→conformity and inspection→customer or system acceptance→sustained accepted output→uncommitted compatible supply

Poolability boundarySame calibre, operator or process label does not establish common tooling, transferable process approval, equal yield, interchangeable body geometry or customer acceptance.

06 · Strategic assessment

The evidence closes routes, not twelve-month sufficiency

The next intervention is a same-configuration accepted-flow ledger, not a larger nominal capacity headline.

WITHHELD CURRENT SUFFICIENCY

No current shortage or sufficiency finding

Confidence BOUNDED MULTISOURCE

Limitation: The six-site current map is bounded and not a complete census.
Limitation: Retained quantities count bodies, projectiles, rounds, targets, deliveries and regulatory observations at different periods.
Limitation: No demand or accepted-source allocation is joined.
Could reverse: Comparable current site-level target-stage capacity and accepted-output evidence becomes available.
Could reverse: A bounded demand, commitment and headroom dataset closes the twelve-month counterfactual.

SHB-CLM-001 SHB-CLM-004 SHB-CLM-009 SHB-CLM-012 SHB-CLM-014 SHB-CLM-019 SHB-CLM-017

INFERRED

Entry into the usable pool is a joined evidence problem

A nominal forge or body quantity enters compatible supply only when the output stage, exact configuration, process route, conformity, customer acceptance, period and allocation are aligned.

Confidence METHOD BOUNDARY

Limitation: The public record does not expose a complete joined ledger for any multi-site European pool.
Limitation: Profile-local stage labels do not create canonical products or process identities.
Could reverse: A public accepted-source matrix and matched production ledger demonstrate direct cross-site poolability.
Could reverse: A reviewed narrower configuration scope supports a numeric compatible-capacity result.

SHB-CLM-003 SHB-CLM-007 SHB-CLM-008 SHB-CLM-017 SHB-CLM-018

INFERRED

Forging routes are visible but not generically poolable

Unterlüß, Trubia, Tarbes and Valjevo establish current projectile-body forging at high level, while Snina and Kraśnik establish current body routes using source-specific forming language; none establishes transferable spare capacity across configurations.

Confidence SITE BOUNDED

Limitation: Process details are intentionally not retained.
Limitation: The map does not establish utilisation, yield or accepted configuration overlap.
Could reverse: A site-to-configuration capability and qualification matrix demonstrates poolable routes.
Could reverse: Matched current capacity, output, commitment and transfer records become available.

SHB-CLM-001 SHB-CLM-006 SHB-CLM-009 SHB-CLM-012 SHB-CLM-014 SHB-CLM-019

WITHHELD YIELD

Yield remains unquantified

A Tarbes scrap-rate change is visible, but no retained source provides the denominator required to calculate first-pass yield, conforming output or a transferable European yield assumption.

Confidence DIRECT LIMITATION

Limitation: The scrap baseline and denominator are absent.
Limitation: Exact calibre, configuration, rework and accepted-lot counts are absent.
Could reverse: A same-configuration input, reject, rework and conforming-output series is disclosed.
Could reverse: A reviewed site ledger links quality loss to accepted output.

SHB-CLM-017

WITHHELD UNCOMMITTED CAPACITY

No spare-capacity arithmetic is valid

Capacity minus deliveries cannot be used because the retained observations do not align configuration, stage, period, output, commitments, queue and customer allocation.

Confidence METHOD BOUNDARY

Limitation: Capacity and delivery observations use different counted objects.
Limitation: Commitments and accepted configuration allocations are incomplete.
Could reverse: A same-site, same-configuration capacity/output/commitment ledger is disclosed.
Could reverse: Customer allocation and accepted alternate-source evidence closes residual headroom.

SHB-CLM-002 SHB-CLM-003 SHB-CLM-004 SHB-CLM-009 SHB-CLM-015 SHB-CLM-016

Intervention points

01
Build one exact configuration acceptance matrix
Obtain producer, customer and platform records identifying which body configurations and alternative sites are currently accepted, without publishing sensitive design details.
Decision value: Separates visible body producers from actually substitutable qualified sources.
SHB-CLM-007 SHB-CLM-008 SHB-CLM-011
02
Join the target-stage output ladder
For one named configuration, obtain matched gross target-stage output, conforming lots, customer acceptance and downstream receipt by month.
Decision value: Tests where nominal forging output fails to become accepted projectile supply.
SHB-CLM-003 SHB-CLM-016 SHB-CLM-017
03
Close yield and quality losses
Obtain first-pass, reject, rework and work-in-progress counts at the exact configuration and site grain.
Decision value: Converts gross output into a defensible conforming-output denominator.
SHB-CLM-017
04
Close commitments and residual headroom
Join matched current capacity and accepted output to binding orders, reserved slots, queues and customer allocation.
Decision value: Determines whether any compatible capacity is actually transferable within twelve months.
SHB-CLM-002 SHB-CLM-004 SHB-CLM-009 SHB-CLM-015
05
Track expansion by milestone
Update each planned line only at construction, equipment acceptance, commissioning, configuration qualification and sustained accepted-output milestones.
Decision value: Prevents announced targets from entering current capacity before they earn it.
SHB-CLM-010 SHB-CLM-011 SHB-CLM-020 SHB-CLM-021 SHB-CLM-023 SHB-CLM-025 SHB-CLM-026

Evidence that can change the call

01
For one exact current large-calibre body configuration, which European sites are formally accepted and at what output stage?
Would change: Would establish whether the visible producer map contains qualified alternatives.
02
What are monthly gross, conforming and customer-accepted target-stage quantities at those sites?
Would change: Would close the output and yield denominators needed for a compatible capacity assessment.
03
Which current line reservations, contracts, queues and customer allocations bind the accepted configurations?
Would change: Would determine uncommitted headroom rather than nominal capacity.
04
What tooling, validation, inspection and customer-acceptance work is required to transfer one named body between two evidenced routes?
Would change: Would bound substitution time without universalising one factory-build schedule.
05
Which announced projects have reached equipment acceptance, commissioning, configuration qualification and sustained accepted output?
Would change: Would allow planned capacity to move through the lifecycle without entering current supply prematurely.

Evidence descent · Appendix

Every retained fact and conclusion descends to a located public source.

This deterministic page renders a private, moving-current qualified-output publication object. Corrections require a new version and revision-history entry. It creates no Industrial Network row, public JSON API, migration, canonical product identity or process publication.

Profile-local scoped claims (26)

SHB-CLM-001

Rheinmetall's current Unterlüß artillery-plant evidence places forging, rough and finish machining, heat treatment and surface finishing in the shell-casing route, with current quality and materials-test functions separately corroborated.

REPORTED · Scope: Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß; current high-level shell-casing production topology through the evidence cutoff.

Limitation: The evidence does not disclose body-stage capacity, process parameters, exact configuration coverage, yield, acceptance or uncommitted capacity.

SHB-SRC-001 SHB-SRC-002

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-001Sections ‘Shell Manufacturing Building’ and ‘Load, Assembly and Pack Building’The shell-casing route lists forging, rough and finish machining, heat treatment, surface finishing and painting, while filling and final assembly are placed in a separate building.SHB-SRC-002Event description and listed artillery-plant production functionsCurrent recruitment references shell-casing production, materials testing and quality functions across the new plant.

SHB-CLM-002

The Unterlüß plant opened in September 2025 with a stated future capability of up to 350,000 artillery shells or projectiles per year, a 25,000 end-2025 plan, 140,000 scheduled 2026 deliveries and a 2027 full-capacity point.

REPORTED · Scope: Werk Niedersachsen plant-level opening and ramp statements.

Limitation: The quantities are not disclosed as shell-body-forging capacity, achieved current output, one accepted configuration or uncommitted headroom.

SHB-SRC-003

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-003Opening and production-ramp paragraphsThe plant entered operation after fifteen months of construction; the release separates 25,000 planned by end-2025, 140,000 scheduled deliveries in 2026 and up to 350,000 annually at full capacity in 2027.

SHB-CLM-003

Rheinmetall disclosed a first low-five-figure RH1412 projectile order from Unterlüß in July 2026, with more than half delivered and propellant charges supplied from other sites.

REPORTED · Scope: One bounded projectile configuration and customer order at a point in the 2026 delivery period.

Limitation: The order does not establish annual body output, nameplate, general qualification, complete-round self-sufficiency or free capacity.

SHB-SRC-004

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-004First-delivery and order-scope paragraphsThe release identifies the RH1412 projectile order as low-five-figure, states that more than half had been delivered and assigns propellant charges to other sites.

SHB-CLM-004

MSM identifies ZVS Snina as a current ammunition-body producer with advertised annual capacity of 120,000 bodies.

REPORTED · Scope: Current manufacturer page; Snina body-stage record.

Limitation: The source does not disclose exact body maturity, configuration mix, actual accepted output, utilisation, commitments or merchant availability.

SHB-SRC-005

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-005155 mm ammunition value-chain section; ammunition-body capacity statementThe current group page assigns ammunition-body manufacture to ZVS Snina and reports annual capacity of 120,000 bodies.

SHB-CLM-005

ZVS opened a new artillery-ammunition-body line at Snina in October 2024 and stated a separate 2026 target of 360,000 pieces of 155 mm artillery ammunition.

REPORTED · Scope: Snina line-opening announcement and site-resolved expansion target.

Limitation: The 360,000 statement uses artillery-ammunition wording rather than a resolved body, projectile or round stage, and retained evidence does not confirm achievement by the cutoff.

SHB-SRC-006

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-006Opening announcement; expansion-output paragraphsThe article site-resolves the new body line and a separate 2026 objective of 360,000 pieces of 155 mm artillery ammunition to Snina without resolving that target's manufacturing stage.

SHB-CLM-006

The ZVS 2024 annual report describes Snina as an internal projectile-body supplier and identifies high-level hot forming or pressing, machining, heat treatment and non-destructive inspection in its body route.

REPORTED · Scope: ZVS Snina's 2024 operating role and high-level production functions.

Limitation: The source does not expressly call the forming step forging and establishes neither merchant supply nor process parameters.

SHB-SRC-007

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-007PDF pages 3, 6–7 and 9The annual report identifies projectile bodies as Snina output, its internal-supplier role, and the high-level forming, machining, treatment and inspection functions.

SHB-CLM-007

A Slovak procurement record treated ZVS as the authorised and technically qualified supplier for specified ZUZANA 2 ammunition and described an alternative whole-ammunition path as potentially requiring at least two years of consent, compatibility and acceptance work.

REPORTED · Scope: Specified ZUZANA 2 complete-ammunition procurement at the 2024 decision date.

Limitation: This is not a universal body-transfer duration, a current sole-source claim for all configurations or evidence that no alternative can qualify.

SHB-SRC-008

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-008Notice detail; technical-qualification and alternative-supplier justificationThe procurement record identifies the authorised and qualified ZUZANA 2 ammunition supplier and describes the consent, compatibility and acceptance path for an alternative as potentially taking at least two years.

SHB-CLM-008

MESKO reports that the first 155 mm projectile-body batch made at Kraśnik completed field acceptance for the Krab scope and was delivered.

REPORTED · Scope: One Kraśnik-produced batch and one Krab-scoped acceptance example reported in February 2025.

Limitation: The batch does not establish universal body qualification, output rate, nameplate, yield, accepted-source interchangeability or uncommitted supply.

SHB-SRC-009

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-009155 mm projectile-body production paragraphMESKO reports that the first Kraśnik-produced body batch passed field acceptance for the Krab scope and was delivered.

SHB-CLM-009

MESKO stated in April 2026 that Kraśnik currently produces approximately 25,000 155 mm ammunition bodies annually and identifies high-level hot forming, machining, heat treatment and inspection in the body route.

REPORTED · Scope: Current Kraśnik body-production rate and high-level route through 2026-04-17.

Limitation: The rate is not disclosed as nameplate or spare capacity; exact body maturity, configuration mix, accepted output and utilisation remain unresolved.

SHB-SRC-010

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-010Current Kraśnik production and expansion-status paragraphsThe article reports approximately 25,000 bodies produced annually and names high-level body-route functions while describing the expansion works.

SHB-CLM-010

MESKO associates completed 2027 lines with up to 150,000 155 mm bodies per year and full 2028 capability with approximately 180,000 bodies per year.

REPORTED · Scope: Kraśnik expansion targets stated in October 2025.

Limitation: These are planned states, not current commissioned, stable, accepted or uncommitted capacity.

SHB-SRC-011

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-011Planned-capability paragraphs for 2027 and 2028Completed 2027 lines are associated with up to 150,000 bodies per year and full 2028 capability with approximately 180,000 bodies per year.

SHB-CLM-011

The July 2026 PGZ/MESKO programme update describes a planned fivefold Kraśnik body-department capacity increase, two body/body-bottom variants and final automatic-line acceptance scheduled for end-September 2027.

REPORTED · Scope: Kraśnik expansion programme status at 2026-07-28.

Limitation: The fivefold statement has no safe baseline for backsolving; scheduled acceptance is not commissioned or qualified output.

SHB-SRC-012

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-012Kraśnik body-department and automatic-line acceptance paragraphsThe programme update reports a planned fivefold increase, identifies two body/body-bottom variants and schedules final automatic-line acceptance for end-September 2027.

SHB-CLM-012

The current Trubia facility record is operating, its permit identifies a 155 forging line with high-level forging and body-forming functions, and the 2024 ownership transfer preserved the authorised activities and conditions.

REPORTED · Scope: Rheinmetall Expal's Trubia site; current-state join of permit, operating record and regulatory continuity.

Limitation: The sources do not disclose current body-stage capacity, actual qualified output, configuration allocation, utilisation or merchant headroom.

SHB-SRC-013 SHB-SRC-014 SHB-SRC-015

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-013Facility status and installation summaryThe official facility record identifies Trubia as operating and links the authorised installation documents.SHB-SRC-014Permit installation description; ‘Línea forja 155 (SPS)’The permit identifies the 155 forging line and the high-level forging, ogive-forming and mouth-calibration functions.SHB-SRC-015Resolution 2024-01561; ownership-transfer conditionsThe 2024 resolution transfers the Trubia authorisation to Rheinmetall Expal and states that authorised activities and conditions did not change.

SHB-CLM-013

The Trubia PRTR display includes 180,314 projectiles, 15,365 preforms and 21,090 cases as untyped observations without visible year, calibre, measurement class or capacity/output semantics sufficient for pooling.

REPORTED · Scope: Current public PRTR facility display as accessed at the evidence cutoff.

Limitation: The three figures are neither summed nor promoted to annual body output or capacity; the Spanish labels are retained at source grain.

SHB-SRC-013

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-013Production-observation displayThe display lists 180314 PROYECTILES, 15365 PREFORMA and 21090 VAINA while the visible production-volume field does not resolve the metric semantics required for use as capacity.

SHB-CLM-014

Europlasma's current industry page identifies Les Forges de Tarbes as a large hollow-body supplier and lists steel-bar cutting, forging, machining and body shaping at high level.

REPORTED · Scope: Current Tarbes site-family activity through the evidence cutoff.

Limitation: No process parameter, same-configuration capacity, yield, qualification allocation or headroom is established.

SHB-SRC-016

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-016Les Forges de Tarbes / large hollow bodies; production-route listThe current company page describes large hollow-body supply and lists steel-bar cutting, forging, machining and ogive-forming at high level.

SHB-CLM-015

A December 2025 agreement covers between 60,000 and 150,000 155 mm hollow shell bodies over the combined 2026–2028 period.

REPORTED · Scope: Les Forges de Tarbes and KNDS France multi-year contract scope.

Limitation: The range is not annual capacity, actual output, customer-accepted count or additive to other Tarbes observations.

SHB-SRC-017

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-017PDF pages 1–2; contract volume and periodThe release states a 60,000–150,000 range of 155 mm hollow bodies across the combined 2026–2028 agreement period.

SHB-CLM-016

Current 2026 public records report 70,000 gross hollow bodies produced at Tarbes in 2025, production capacity of 65,000 shell bodies in 2026 and an estimate of 100,000 bodies for 2027.

REPORTED · Scope: Tarbes aggregate hollow-body site-family output, reported capacity and future estimate.

Limitation: Exact calibre/configuration mix, conformity, customer acceptance, installed nameplate and uncommitted capacity are not joined.

SHB-SRC-019 SHB-SRC-033

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-019HTML paragraphs 198–201 and 513–516The 7 May 2026 DGA hearing describes Tarbes as supplying 155 mm hollow bodies, states production capacity of 65,000 shell bodies in 2026 and gives an estimate of 100,000 in 2027.SHB-SRC-033PDF page 18Sworn worker testimony reports 70,000 bodies produced in 2025, split as 65,000 for Nexter and 5,000 for Bizzell EU.

SHB-CLM-017

Europlasma reported that Tarbes scrap increased by five percentage points in 2025, but the public evidence gives no baseline, denominator, absolute scrap, rework or conforming-output count.

REPORTED · Scope: Aggregate Tarbes 2025 quality-loss signal.

Limitation: The observation cannot produce first-pass yield, exact 155 mm yield, accepted output or a Europe-wide engineering assumption.

SHB-SRC-018

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-018PDF page 2; Les Forges de Tarbes 2025 result discussionThe filing reports a five-percentage-point rise in scrap at Tarbes and associated purchased-material losses without a baseline or denominator.

SHB-CLM-018

French Army evidence describes 155 mm bodies arriving at La Chapelle-Saint-Ursin as forged metal blocks for machining, banding and high-level inspection.

REPORTED · Scope: KNDS La Chapelle-Saint-Ursin downstream body-finishing route in 2024.

Limitation: The source does not establish on-site forging, a Tarbes supplier relationship, body capacity, yield or customer-accepted output.

SHB-SRC-020

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-020PDF page 36; ‘En cible’The article says forged metal blocks arrive for body machining, banding, pressure testing and dimensional control at La Chapelle-Saint-Ursin.

SHB-CLM-019

Serbian official and first-party records establish that a 155 mm projectile-body forging plant entered operation at Valjevo in 2020, that the current company profile identifies hot-forged projectile bodies, and that Kovački Centar holds a producer licence valid from March 2026 to March 2029.

REPORTED · Scope: Kovački Centar/Krušik, Valjevo; operating-history and current-licence continuity.

Limitation: The records disclose no current capacity, actual output, exact accepted configuration, customer allocation or merchant availability.

SHB-SRC-021 SHB-SRC-022 SHB-SRC-023

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-021Paragraph announcing the new 155 mm projectile-body forging plantThe Serbian-language official release states that the 155 mm artillery-projectile-body forging plant was put into operation at Kovački Centar.SHB-SRC-022PDF pages 18–19; Kovački Centar profileThe current company profile identifies hot-forged projectile-body components at the Valjevo forging centre.SHB-SRC-023PDF row 26The 2026 official register lists Kovački Centar DOO Valjevo with a manufacturer licence valid from 9 March 2026 to 9 March 2029.

SHB-CLM-020

Construction began at Baisogala in November 2025 for a shell-casing forge and filling plant, with line qualification scheduled through end-2026 and gradual ramp-up planned in 2027.

REPORTED · Scope: Rheinmetall Lithuania Baisogala project.

Limitation: Construction and scheduled qualification establish no current commissioned, accepted or stable output and no current capacity.

SHB-SRC-024

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-024Project-scope and schedule paragraphsThe release site-resolves Baisogala, specifies a shell-casing forge and filling plant, and separates construction, line qualification through end-2026 and gradual 2027 ramp-up.

SHB-CLM-021

Rheinmetall announced a Latvian shell-forging and filling project in September 2025, while the retained current Latvian project page remains preparatory and does not resolve a current shell-forge site.

REPORTED · Scope: Proposed Rheinmetall–Latvia ammunition-factory project through the evidence cutoff.

Limitation: An MoU, planned date or separate modular-charge construction project does not establish this forge's site, construction, commissioning or output.

SHB-SRC-025 SHB-SRC-026

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-025Joint-venture, shell-forging/filling and schedule paragraphsThe release describes the proposed shell-forging and filling project, its planned schedule and a whole-plant output scale.SHB-SRC-026Current project-status descriptionThe Latvian project page describes preparatory work on the cooperation model and terms rather than a commissioned shell-forging site.

SHB-CLM-022

Nammo's current Karlskoga page identifies explosive filling and final assembly for 40, 57 and 155 mm ammunition.

REPORTED · Scope: Nammo Karlskoga current downstream production role.

Limitation: The page establishes no shell-body manufacture, forging, body throughput, upstream supplier or capacity.

SHB-SRC-027

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-027Karlskoga site overviewNammo identifies the site's main focus as explosive filling and final assembly of 40, 57 and 155 mm ammunition.

SHB-CLM-023

STV announced forged 122, 152 and 155 mm projectile-body production with serial launch scheduled for end-2025 and a 2026 target above 100,000 mixed-calibre bodies per year.

REPORTED · Scope: STV Group announcement dated 2025-09-05.

Limitation: No later first-party commissioning confirmation or exact forge-site resolution was found; the target is mixed-calibre and not current accepted output.

SHB-SRC-028

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-028Forged-body launch, calibre sequence and 2026 target paragraphsThe announcement covers forged 122, 152 and 155 mm bodies, schedules serial launch for end-2025 and gives a mixed-calibre target above 100,000 per year.

SHB-CLM-024

ROMARM's current catalogue identifies 155 mm projectile bodies as plant-made components, while Plopeni separately advertises generic forging and machining capability without an explicit body-product/site join.

REPORTED · Scope: ROMARM operator-level product evidence and UM Plopeni generic capability evidence.

Limitation: The sources do not establish that Plopeni is the current 155 mm body forge, an exact production-line site, a quantity or qualification state.

SHB-SRC-029 SHB-SRC-030

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-029Catalogue section on 155 mm artillery-ammunition componentsThe catalogue identifies M396 and M107 projectile bodies as components made in the group network.SHB-SRC-030Industrial-capability lists for forging and machiningThe Plopeni site lists generic forging and machining capabilities without directly mapping them to the ROMARM 155 mm body product.

SHB-CLM-025

Nammo's current Raufoss expansion story shows a new high-level steel-forming and machining route for the first stage of artillery shells and states that the factory is expected to start production later in 2026.

REPORTED · Scope: Nammo Raufoss expansion status at the evidence cutoff.

Limitation: The source does not confirm commissioning, disclose exact 155 mm body capacity or permit a several-product up-to-tenfold statement to become current shell-body capacity.

SHB-SRC-031

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-031Raufoss press and machining expansion sectionThe story presents new high-level forming and machining equipment for the first stage of artillery shells, a later-2026 production start and an up-to-tenfold increase across several key ammunition types.

SHB-CLM-026

Rheinmetall and VMZ announced a Sopot-region joint venture with projectile-casing production planned from 2027 and approximately 100,000 artillery shells per year at whole-plant grain.

REPORTED · Scope: Rheinmetall–VMZ Bulgaria project announced 2025-10-28.

Limitation: The planned whole-plant figure is not current casing capacity, exact body-stage output, commissioned production or uncommitted supply.

SHB-SRC-032

Located evidenceSHB-SRC-032Joint-venture scope, location and production-plan paragraphsThe release places the planned project in the Sopot region, includes projectile-casing production from 2027 and states an approximate whole-plant artillery-shell target.

Evidence passages (34)

SHB-PASS-001

Sections ‘Shell Manufacturing Building’ and ‘Load, Assembly and Pack Building’

The shell-casing route lists forging, rough and finish machining, heat treatment, surface finishing and painting, while filling and final assembly are placed in a separate building.

SHB-SRC-001SHB-CLM-001

SHB-PASS-002

Event description and listed artillery-plant production functions

Current recruitment references shell-casing production, materials testing and quality functions across the new plant.

SHB-SRC-002SHB-CLM-001

SHB-PASS-003

Opening and production-ramp paragraphs

The plant entered operation after fifteen months of construction; the release separates 25,000 planned by end-2025, 140,000 scheduled deliveries in 2026 and up to 350,000 annually at full capacity in 2027.

SHB-SRC-003SHB-CLM-002

SHB-PASS-004

First-delivery and order-scope paragraphs

The release identifies the RH1412 projectile order as low-five-figure, states that more than half had been delivered and assigns propellant charges to other sites.

SHB-SRC-004SHB-CLM-003

SHB-PASS-005

155 mm ammunition value-chain section; ammunition-body capacity statement

The current group page assigns ammunition-body manufacture to ZVS Snina and reports annual capacity of 120,000 bodies.

SHB-SRC-005SHB-CLM-004

SHB-PASS-006

Opening announcement; expansion-output paragraphs

The article site-resolves the new body line and a separate 2026 objective of 360,000 pieces of 155 mm artillery ammunition to Snina without resolving that target's manufacturing stage.

SHB-SRC-006SHB-CLM-005

SHB-PASS-007

PDF pages 3, 6–7 and 9

The annual report identifies projectile bodies as Snina output, its internal-supplier role, and the high-level forming, machining, treatment and inspection functions.

SHB-SRC-007SHB-CLM-006

SHB-PASS-008

Notice detail; technical-qualification and alternative-supplier justification

The procurement record identifies the authorised and qualified ZUZANA 2 ammunition supplier and describes the consent, compatibility and acceptance path for an alternative as potentially taking at least two years.

SHB-SRC-008SHB-CLM-007

SHB-PASS-009

155 mm projectile-body production paragraph

MESKO reports that the first Kraśnik-produced body batch passed field acceptance for the Krab scope and was delivered.

SHB-SRC-009SHB-CLM-008

SHB-PASS-010

Current Kraśnik production and expansion-status paragraphs

The article reports approximately 25,000 bodies produced annually and names high-level body-route functions while describing the expansion works.

SHB-SRC-010SHB-CLM-009

SHB-PASS-011

Planned-capability paragraphs for 2027 and 2028

Completed 2027 lines are associated with up to 150,000 bodies per year and full 2028 capability with approximately 180,000 bodies per year.

SHB-SRC-011SHB-CLM-010

SHB-PASS-012

Kraśnik body-department and automatic-line acceptance paragraphs

The programme update reports a planned fivefold increase, identifies two body/body-bottom variants and schedules final automatic-line acceptance for end-September 2027.

SHB-SRC-012SHB-CLM-011

SHB-PASS-013

Facility status and installation summary

The official facility record identifies Trubia as operating and links the authorised installation documents.

SHB-SRC-013SHB-CLM-012

SHB-PASS-014

Permit installation description; ‘Línea forja 155 (SPS)’

The permit identifies the 155 forging line and the high-level forging, ogive-forming and mouth-calibration functions.

SHB-SRC-014SHB-CLM-012

SHB-PASS-015

Resolution 2024-01561; ownership-transfer conditions

The 2024 resolution transfers the Trubia authorisation to Rheinmetall Expal and states that authorised activities and conditions did not change.

SHB-SRC-015SHB-CLM-012

SHB-PASS-016

Production-observation display

The display lists 180314 PROYECTILES, 15365 PREFORMA and 21090 VAINA while the visible production-volume field does not resolve the metric semantics required for use as capacity.

SHB-SRC-013SHB-CLM-013

SHB-PASS-017

Les Forges de Tarbes / large hollow bodies; production-route list

The current company page describes large hollow-body supply and lists steel-bar cutting, forging, machining and ogive-forming at high level.

SHB-SRC-016SHB-CLM-014

SHB-PASS-018

PDF pages 1–2; contract volume and period

The release states a 60,000–150,000 range of 155 mm hollow bodies across the combined 2026–2028 agreement period.

SHB-SRC-017SHB-CLM-015

SHB-PASS-019

HTML paragraphs 198–201 and 513–516

The 7 May 2026 DGA hearing describes Tarbes as supplying 155 mm hollow bodies, states production capacity of 65,000 shell bodies in 2026 and gives an estimate of 100,000 in 2027.

SHB-SRC-019SHB-CLM-016

SHB-PASS-020

PDF page 18

Sworn worker testimony reports 70,000 bodies produced in 2025, split as 65,000 for Nexter and 5,000 for Bizzell EU.

SHB-SRC-033SHB-CLM-016

SHB-PASS-021

PDF page 2; Les Forges de Tarbes 2025 result discussion

The filing reports a five-percentage-point rise in scrap at Tarbes and associated purchased-material losses without a baseline or denominator.

SHB-SRC-018SHB-CLM-017

SHB-PASS-022

PDF page 36; ‘En cible’

The article says forged metal blocks arrive for body machining, banding, pressure testing and dimensional control at La Chapelle-Saint-Ursin.

SHB-SRC-020SHB-CLM-018

SHB-PASS-023

Paragraph announcing the new 155 mm projectile-body forging plant

The Serbian-language official release states that the 155 mm artillery-projectile-body forging plant was put into operation at Kovački Centar.

SHB-SRC-021SHB-CLM-019

SHB-PASS-024

PDF pages 18–19; Kovački Centar profile

The current company profile identifies hot-forged projectile-body components at the Valjevo forging centre.

SHB-SRC-022SHB-CLM-019

SHB-PASS-025

PDF row 26

The 2026 official register lists Kovački Centar DOO Valjevo with a manufacturer licence valid from 9 March 2026 to 9 March 2029.

SHB-SRC-023SHB-CLM-019

SHB-PASS-026

Project-scope and schedule paragraphs

The release site-resolves Baisogala, specifies a shell-casing forge and filling plant, and separates construction, line qualification through end-2026 and gradual 2027 ramp-up.

SHB-SRC-024SHB-CLM-020

SHB-PASS-027

Joint-venture, shell-forging/filling and schedule paragraphs

The release describes the proposed shell-forging and filling project, its planned schedule and a whole-plant output scale.

SHB-SRC-025SHB-CLM-021

SHB-PASS-028

Current project-status description

The Latvian project page describes preparatory work on the cooperation model and terms rather than a commissioned shell-forging site.

SHB-SRC-026SHB-CLM-021

SHB-PASS-029

Karlskoga site overview

Nammo identifies the site's main focus as explosive filling and final assembly of 40, 57 and 155 mm ammunition.

SHB-SRC-027SHB-CLM-022

SHB-PASS-030

Forged-body launch, calibre sequence and 2026 target paragraphs

The announcement covers forged 122, 152 and 155 mm bodies, schedules serial launch for end-2025 and gives a mixed-calibre target above 100,000 per year.

SHB-SRC-028SHB-CLM-023

SHB-PASS-031

Catalogue section on 155 mm artillery-ammunition components

The catalogue identifies M396 and M107 projectile bodies as components made in the group network.

SHB-SRC-029SHB-CLM-024

SHB-PASS-032

Industrial-capability lists for forging and machining

The Plopeni site lists generic forging and machining capabilities without directly mapping them to the ROMARM 155 mm body product.

SHB-SRC-030SHB-CLM-024

SHB-PASS-033

Raufoss press and machining expansion section

The story presents new high-level forming and machining equipment for the first stage of artillery shells, a later-2026 production start and an up-to-tenfold increase across several key ammunition types.

SHB-SRC-031SHB-CLM-025

SHB-PASS-034

Joint-venture scope, location and production-plan paragraphs

The release places the planned project in the Sopot region, includes projectile-casing production from 2027 and states an approximate whole-plant artillery-shell target.

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Public source register (33)

SHB-SRC-001

Artillery plant — Careers at Rheinmetall in Unterlüß

Rheinmetall · Date not published

CURRENT FIRST PARTY · DIRECT LIVE UNDATED WITH STALE OPENING TEXT · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Sections ‘Shell Manufacturing Building’ and ‘Load, Assembly and Pack Building’The shell-casing route lists forging, rough and finish machining, heat treatment, surface finishing and painting, while filling and final assembly are placed in a separate building.

SHB-SRC-002

Career Day Unterlüß

Rheinmetall · 17 April 2026

CURRENT FIRST PARTY · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Event description and listed artillery-plant production functionsCurrent recruitment references shell-casing production, materials testing and quality functions across the new plant.

SHB-SRC-003

Ceremonial opening of new ammunition factory in Unterlüß

Rheinmetall · 5 September 2025

FIRST PARTY DATED · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Opening and production-ramp paragraphsThe plant entered operation after fifteen months of construction; the release separates 25,000 planned by end-2025, 140,000 scheduled deliveries in 2026 and up to 350,000 annually at full capacity in 2027.

SHB-SRC-004

First artillery-ammunition delivery from Unterlüß for Ukraine

Rheinmetall · 14 July 2026

CURRENT FIRST PARTY · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

First-delivery and order-scope paragraphsThe release identifies the RH1412 projectile order as low-five-figure, states that more than half had been delivered and assigns propellant charges to other sites.

SHB-SRC-005

MSM Group homepage — 155 mm ammunition bodies

MSM Group · Date not published

CURRENT FIRST PARTY · BROWSER USER AGENT REQUIRED · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

155 mm ammunition value-chain section; ammunition-body capacity statementThe current group page assigns ammunition-body manufacture to ZVS Snina and reports annual capacity of 120,000 bodies.

SHB-SRC-006

ZVS Holding opened a new production line for artillery ammunition bodies

MSM Group / ZVS Holding · 4 October 2024

FIRST PARTY DATED · BROWSER USER AGENT REQUIRED · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Opening announcement; expansion-output paragraphsThe article site-resolves the new body line and a separate 2026 objective of 360,000 pieces of 155 mm artillery ammunition to Snina without resolving that target's manufacturing stage.

SHB-SRC-007

ZVS holding annual report 2024

OFFICIAL COMPANY FILING · DIRECT LIVE PDF · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

PDF pages 3, 6–7 and 9The annual report identifies projectile bodies as Snina output, its internal-supplier role, and the high-level forming, machining, treatment and inspection functions.

SHB-SRC-008

Procurement notice — 155 mm ammunition for ZUZANA 2

Public Procurement Office of the Slovak Republic · 24 January 2024

OFFICIAL PROCUREMENT RECORD · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Notice detail; technical-qualification and alternative-supplier justificationThe procurement record identifies the authorised and qualified ZUZANA 2 ammunition supplier and describes the consent, compatibility and acceptance path for an alternative as potentially taking at least two years.

SHB-SRC-009

Summary of 2024

MESKO S.A. · 11 February 2025

FIRST PARTY DATED · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

155 mm projectile-body production paragraphMESKO reports that the first Kraśnik-produced body batch passed field acceptance for the Krab scope and was delivered.

SHB-SRC-010

Budimex selected for expansion of the Kraśnik ammunition factory

MESKO S.A. · 17 April 2026

CURRENT FIRST PARTY · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Current Kraśnik production and expansion-status paragraphsThe article reports approximately 25,000 bodies produced annually and names high-level body-route functions while describing the expansion works.

SHB-SRC-011

Construction of the 155 mm ammunition factory began at Kraśnik

MESKO S.A. · 29 October 2025

FIRST PARTY DATED · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Planned-capability paragraphs for 2027 and 2028Completed 2027 lines are associated with up to 150,000 bodies per year and full 2028 capability with approximately 180,000 bodies per year.

SHB-SRC-012

One-year programme summary for sovereign 155 mm production

MESKO / Polish Armaments Group · 28 July 2026

CURRENT FIRST PARTY · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Kraśnik body-department and automatic-line acceptance paragraphsThe programme update reports a planned fivefold increase, identifies two body/body-bottom variants and schedules final automatic-line acceptance for end-September 2027.

SHB-SRC-013

Rheinmetall Expal Munitions — Trubia facility record

Spanish Pollutant Release and Transfer Register · Date not published

CURRENT REGULATORY RECORD · OFFICIAL INDEXED SOFT RETRIEVAL FAILURE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Facility status and installation summaryThe official facility record identifies Trubia as operating and links the authorised installation documents.
Production-observation displayThe display lists 180314 PROYECTILES, 15365 PREFORMA and 21090 VAINA while the visible production-volume field does not resolve the metric semantics required for use as capacity.

SHB-SRC-014

Trubia environmental-authorisation attachment — Modif. titular. EXPAL

Government of the Principality of Asturias · Date not published

OFFICIAL ENVIRONMENTAL PERMIT · OFFICIAL LINKED PDF SOFT RETRIEVAL FAILURE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Permit installation description; ‘Línea forja 155 (SPS)’The permit identifies the 155 forging line and the high-level forging, ogive-forming and mouth-calibration functions.

SHB-SRC-015

Ownership transfer of the Trubia ammunition-workshop environmental authorisation

Official Gazette of the Principality of Asturias · 26 February 2024

OFFICIAL REGULATORY DECISION · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Resolution 2024-01561; ownership-transfer conditionsThe 2024 resolution transfers the Trubia authorisation to Rheinmetall Expal and states that authorised activities and conditions did not change.

SHB-SRC-016

Industries — Les Forges de Tarbes

Europlasma · Date not published

CURRENT FIRST PARTY · DIRECT LIVE UNDATED · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Les Forges de Tarbes / large hollow bodies; production-route listThe current company page describes large hollow-body supply and lists steel-bar cutting, forging, machining and ogive-forming at high level.

SHB-SRC-017

Long-term agreement for 155 mm hollow shell bodies

KNDS France / Les Forges de Tarbes · 22 December 2025

FIRST PARTY CONTRACT ANNOUNCEMENT · DIRECT LIVE PDF · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

PDF pages 1–2; contract volume and periodThe release states a 60,000–150,000 range of 155 mm hollow bodies across the combined 2026–2028 agreement period.

SHB-SRC-018

2025 annual results

Europlasma · 11 June 2026

COMPANY REGULATORY FILING · DIRECT LIVE PDF · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

PDF page 2; Les Forges de Tarbes 2025 result discussionThe filing reports a five-percentage-point rise in scrap at Tarbes and associated purchased-material losses without a baseline or denominator.

SHB-SRC-019

Hearing on ammunition industrial capacity — Les Forges de Tarbes evidence

French National Assembly · 7 May 2026

OFFICIAL PARLIAMENTARY RECORD · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

HTML paragraphs 198–201 and 513–516The 7 May 2026 DGA hearing describes Tarbes as supplying 155 mm hollow bodies, states production capacity of 65,000 shell bodies in 2026 and gives an estimate of 100,000 in 2027.

SHB-SRC-020

TerreMag no. 7 — En cible: large-calibre production at La Chapelle-Saint-Ursin

French Army — TerreMag · 1 September 2024

OFFICIAL MILITARY PUBLICATION · DIRECT LIVE PDF · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

PDF page 36; ‘En cible’The article says forged metal blocks arrive for body machining, banding, pressure testing and dimensional control at La Chapelle-Saint-Ursin.

SHB-SRC-021

Visit to Valjevo Krušik and commissioning of the 155 mm projectile-body forging plant

Ministry of Defence of the Republic of Serbia · 9 March 2020

OFFICIAL GOVERNMENT RECORD · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Paragraph announcing the new 155 mm projectile-body forging plantThe Serbian-language official release states that the 155 mm artillery-projectile-body forging plant was put into operation at Kovački Centar.

SHB-SRC-022

Company profile — Kovački Centar

Yugoimport–SDPR · Date not published

CURRENT FIRST PARTY PROFILE · DIRECT LIVE PDF · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

PDF pages 18–19; Kovački Centar profileThe current company profile identifies hot-forged projectile-body components at the Valjevo forging centre.

SHB-SRC-023

Register of licensed manufacturers of weapons and military equipment — 2026

Ministry of Defence of the Republic of Serbia · 9 March 2026

CURRENT OFFICIAL LICENCE REGISTER · OFFICIAL INDEXED SOFT RETRIEVAL FAILURE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

PDF row 26The 2026 official register lists Kovački Centar DOO Valjevo with a manufacturer licence valid from 9 March 2026 to 9 March 2029.

SHB-SRC-024

Groundbreaking ceremony for munitions factory in Lithuania

Rheinmetall · 4 November 2025

FIRST PARTY DATED · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Project-scope and schedule paragraphsThe release site-resolves Baisogala, specifies a shell-casing forge and filling plant, and separates construction, line qualification through end-2026 and gradual 2027 ramp-up.

SHB-SRC-025

Latvia orders ammunition factory from Rheinmetall

Rheinmetall · 25 September 2025

FIRST PARTY DATED · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Joint-venture, shell-forging/filling and schedule paragraphsThe release describes the proposed shell-forging and filling project, its planned schedule and a whole-plant output scale.

SHB-SRC-026

Artillery ammunition production project

State Defence Corporation of Latvia · Date not published

CURRENT GOVERNMENT COMPANY PROJECT PAGE · DIRECT LIVE UNDATED · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Current project-status descriptionThe Latvian project page describes preparatory work on the cooperation model and terms rather than a commissioned shell-forging site.

SHB-SRC-027

Nammo Karlskoga

Nammo · Date not published

CURRENT FIRST PARTY · DIRECT LIVE UNDATED · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Karlskoga site overviewNammo identifies the site's main focus as explosive filling and final assembly of 40, 57 and 155 mm ammunition.

SHB-SRC-028

STV Group launches production of forged projectile bodies

STV Group · 5 September 2025

FIRST PARTY DATED · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Forged-body launch, calibre sequence and 2026 target paragraphsThe announcement covers forged 122, 152 and 155 mm bodies, schedules serial launch for end-2025 and gives a mixed-calibre target above 100,000 per year.

SHB-SRC-029

ROMARM catalogue 2025

ROMARM · 1 July 2025

CURRENT FIRST PARTY CATALOGUE · OFFICIAL INDEXED HTTP 503 · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Catalogue section on 155 mm artillery-ammunition componentsThe catalogue identifies M396 and M107 projectile bodies as components made in the group network.

SHB-SRC-030

Military products and industrial capabilities

Uzina Mecanică Plopeni · Date not published

CURRENT FIRST PARTY · DIRECT LIVE UNDATED · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Industrial-capability lists for forging and machiningThe Plopeni site lists generic forging and machining capabilities without directly mapping them to the ROMARM 155 mm body product.

SHB-SRC-031

Building industrial capacity for the future

Nammo · 5 June 2026

CURRENT FIRST PARTY · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Raufoss press and machining expansion sectionThe story presents new high-level forming and machining equipment for the first stage of artillery shells, a later-2026 production start and an up-to-tenfold increase across several key ammunition types.

SHB-SRC-032

Rheinmetall and VMZ establish joint venture cooperation with Bulgaria

Rheinmetall · 28 October 2025

FIRST PARTY DATED · DIRECT LIVE · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

Joint-venture scope, location and production-plan paragraphsThe release places the planned project in the Sopot region, includes projectile-casing production from 2027 and states an approximate whole-plant artillery-shell target.

SHB-SRC-033

Worker hearing on Les Forges de Tarbes

French National Assembly · 2 April 2026

OFFICIAL PARLIAMENTARY SWORN TESTIMONY · DIRECT LIVE PDF · accessed 2026-08-29

Open public source →

PDF page 18Sworn worker testimony reports 70,000 bodies produced in 2025, split as 65,000 for Nexter and 5,000 for Bizzell EU.

Revision history

Date	Version	Change
2026-08-29	0.1.0	Published the first Strategic Qualified Output Profile with stage-first producer and project records, non-comparable capacity accounting, high-level process evidence and explicit yield, qualification and uncommitted-capacity unknowns.

Publication boundary. SB-SQP-0001 is an analytical-publication identity, not a canonical product, facility, process, programme, supplier or accepted-source identity. The public Industrial Network remains industrial-network-api-v0.1 over released industrial-network-v0.2.

Large-calibre shell-body forgings

The strategic object is a bounded manufacturing output

Output-stage scope

Configuration and acceptance boundary

Six current body-production lanes are evidenced at unequal stage resolution

Bounded current European body-output and control records

Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß

ZVS Holding, Snina

MESKO Kraśnik

Rheinmetall Expal, Trubia

Les Forges de Tarbes

Kovački Centar, Valjevo

Rheinmetall Lithuania, Baisogala

Rheinmetall Latvia project

Nammo Raufoss expansion

Rheinmetall–VMZ Sopot-region project

Nammo Karlskoga

KNDS La Chapelle-Saint-Ursin

STV Group forged-body lane

ROMARM 155 mm body-component lane

Shared calibre does not create a common output market

Stage-resolved records and controls

Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß

ZVS Holding, Snina

MESKO Kraśnik

Rheinmetall Expal, Trubia

Les Forges de Tarbes

Kovački Centar, Valjevo

Rheinmetall Lithuania, Baisogala

Rheinmetall Latvia project

Nammo Raufoss expansion

Rheinmetall–VMZ Sopot-region project

Nammo Karlskoga

KNDS La Chapelle-Saint-Ursin

STV Group forged-body lane

ROMARM 155 mm body-component lane

Published numbers count different objects and lifecycle states

Retained quantity observations

Unterlüß future full-capacity ceiling

Unterlüß end-2025 production plan

Unterlüß 2026 scheduled delivery

ZVS Snina advertised body capacity

ZVS/MSM 2026 ammunition target

MESKO Kraśnik current reported body rate

MESKO Kraśnik 2027 body target

MESKO Kraśnik 2028 full-capability target

MESKO fivefold expansion statement

Trubia PRTR projectile observation

Trubia PRTR preform observation

Trubia PRTR case observation

Tarbes 2025 gross hollow-body output

Tarbes 2026 reported production capacity

Tarbes 2027 output estimate

Tarbes–KNDS 2026–2028 contract range

STV multi-calibre forged-body target

Nammo Raufoss expansion multiple

Rheinmetall–VMZ planned whole-plant output

Expansion and ramp states

Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß

ZVS Holding, Snina

MESKO Kraśnik

Rheinmetall Lithuania, Baisogala

Rheinmetall Latvia project

STV Group forged-body lane

Nammo Raufoss expansion

Rheinmetall–VMZ Sopot-region project

Nominal forging capacity is not transferable accepted output

Only high-level, directly evidenced process capabilities

Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß

Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß

Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß

Werk Niedersachsen, Unterlüß

ZVS Holding, Snina

ZVS Holding, Snina

ZVS Holding, Snina

ZVS Holding, Snina

MESKO Kraśnik

MESKO Kraśnik

MESKO Kraśnik

MESKO Kraśnik