Observed institutional action is not demonstrated strategic conversion

Institutional machinery, system-specific activity and Strategic Effect are now separate analytical states across ten Bulgarian and Polish production systems.

Activity observed ≠ effect observed ≠ activity caused effect.No score, ranking, causal claim or new constraint verdict.

Verifying four-stage synthesis…Every upstream freeze must match.

Comparative CEBP finding v0.3

Strategic Effect is visible without manufacturing causation

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StockAccumulation / erosionConversionStrategic Effect

Systems10five per country

National envelopes10national only

System activities3directly bounded

Effects observed6separate state

Causal links0none established

Country evidence depth

Different observability, no capacity ranking

Counts describe this selected evidence register. They do not rank institutional quality, state capacity or strategic power.

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Ten-system effect register

Activity, effect and linkage remain separate

EFFECT OBSERVED · CAUSAL LINK NOT ESTABLISHED means exactly that: a physical or programme effect exists in evidence, but no matched institutional chain attributes it.

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Residual-gap decision

Next test: Strategic Effect / Programme Traceability feasibility

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Not stock #5. Not a traceability build. Financial–Capital and Scientific–Technological remain explicit alternatives.