France Demography
Inspect EUROPOP2025 official futures and the unchanged bg-cohort-component-v0.1 control model. The instrument begins in 1960, but source-unavailable historical years remain unavailable rather than being replaced or treated as zero.
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Loading released demographic account…Manifest and chunks are verified before their values are shown.
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Compare scenarios without losing provenance
Observed source states and named futures remain distinct. Metric series load separately from age states, and missing source values are never interpolated.
Waiting for the immutable release manifest.
Model fidelity
The unchanged cohort engine is compared with direct Eurostat France baseline states and flows. Errors are diagnostic, not uncertainty intervals.
Annual births and deaths errors
| Year | Births error | Model births | Official births | Deaths error | Model deaths | Official deaths |
|---|
Population pyramid
Male and female population by single year of age; the terminal age is open-ended.
Population trajectory
Observed source history is solid; official and StrategicBase futures are dashed beyond the 2025/26 boundary.
Exact released values
Selected-year metrics and population by age
| Metric | Value | Unit | Release state |
|---|
| Age | Male | Male state | Female | Female state | Total |
|---|
Complete released series for the selected metric
| Year | Active scenario value | Active state | Official baseline value | Official baseline state |
|---|
Equations, sources and release identity
Published equations
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Sources
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Release metadata
Interpretation boundaryOfficial projections are conditional source scenarios, not observed future populations. The France benchmark uses the unchanged Bulgaria v0.1 cohort assumptions as a control, not a fitted France model. A transport or integrity failure is not factual absence.