Educational stock and formation

See how much formal education French cohorts carry, what the education system is producing, and how that composition moves with the population through 2031, 2036 and 2046.

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Verifying released Education account…Missing and unavailable source cells remain distinct from zero.

Educational stock

What formal formation do French cohorts carry?

Observed stock is the official annual estimate for people in private households. Future years are a separate StrategicBase composition view over Eurostat's direct official demographic baseline.

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Classified stock · ages 20–69—People across four mutually exclusive attainment groups

Tertiary share—Within the released age 20–69 classified stock

Vocational stock—Upper/post-secondary vocational attainment · ages 20–69

17-year-olds enrolled · latestLazyOfficial count loads with the Formation view

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Attainment	20–29	30–39	40–49	50–59	60–69

Formation pipeline · direct official

Enrolment → entrants → graduates

Direct official counts retain their published ISCED levels. Columns are not forced into a synthetic flow balance.

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Enrolment

New entrants

Graduates / completions

Accounting boundary

Explicit upgrade and education-specific migration matrices are unavailable. v0.1 exposes observed stages; it does not construct an individual transition ledger.

Cohort replacement

Are younger cohorts replacing older educational stock?

The stock ratio compares ages 20–29 with ages 60–69 at the selected level.

Technical formation replacement remains unavailable. Field evidence describes formation flows, not resident stock by age; no denominator is fabricated.

Fields · sparse official evidence

What are tertiary graduates formed in?

Broad ISCED-F fields for the latest released year. Field is optional by contract and never propagated into resident stock.

Technical fields shareScience/maths/statistics + ICT + engineering/manufacturing/construction among classified broad fields

Future composition · +5 / +10 / +20

Move population and education stock through time together

The selected year carries observed profiles with cohorts, uses the current attained-age profile as the younger-cohort formation boundary, and applies them to the direct Official baseline demographic envelope.

StrategicBase model This is a bounded scenario, not an official education forecast.

Method and evidence

Inspect the boundary, not just the chart

Bounded future rule

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Official sources

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Education ≠ Skills ≠ Strategic Talent. Formal formation does not establish measured capability, occupational proficiency or strategic availability.